my other prediction is about afghanistan: this will be recalled as a failure a la vietnam, but smaller. there'll be 'entrepreneurs' and corrupt officials clinging to the underside of the last american cargo planes as we evacuate, giving way to civil war. see here's the slight problem: we imposed on them by force more or less the most corrupt government in the world. this never endears the populace. one of the last chances we had to jump off was the election of 2009; barack and hillary completely screwed that up; they needed to back another horse or demand another election and enforce fairness.