readers of this blog will be familiar with the set of ideas presented in my splicetoday column this week. i must say i think it is fundamentally important, though also fundamentally obvious, and will allow you to assess the credibility of politicians and people you see on television and also to improve your own. the column applies the basic insight to the fbi/hillary/email situation. but here is a longer version from the atlantic, and here is the full-dress academic presentation.